The Horse Sense Blog compares the nonsense in today's news with good ol' fashioned horse sense


“…I shall speak forth my sentiments freely and without reserve.… It is only in this way that we can hope to arrive at truth, and fulfill the great responsibility which we hold to God and our country. Should I keep back my opinions at such a time, through fear of giving offense, I should consider myself as guilty of treason towards my country, and of an act of disloyalty toward the Majesty of Heaven, which I revere above all earthly kings.” - Patrick Henry, March 23, 1775


"The further a society drifts from truth the more it will hate those who speak it." - George Orwell

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Monday, February 24, 2014

America's Survival At Stake


Here's the Nonsense:  We can fix our country's problems in the next election.

Here's the Horse Sense:  We not only face far bigger problems than one election could fix, but most people are too busy focusing on the wrong things to turn our nation around.

What is destroying America is not Barack Obama or the Democrat Party.  It is far deeper and more sinister.  But instead of understanding that, people think this is just about this president or his party.  I came across a perfect example this week.  A person who was commenting on one of the almost-too-many-to-count scandals going on in our government said that we shouldn't worry because the next election would fix everything.  He said that Americans were waking up and would change everything in the next election so that America could get back to being what our founding fathers intended.  I don't know if he was being naive, foolish, or ignorant.  His view is not uncommon and does not bode well for America's chance at surviving as a constitutional republic.

Sadly, it's not just some average guy on the street who thinks this way.  People who work in conservative media are also guilty of the same thing.  America is in far more trouble than one election could fix.  That's one of the reasons I wrote a post in January called It's the Ideology, Stupid!  We're in the fight of our lives and for the life of our nation, but the vast majority don't recognize it and keep focusing on the symptoms, not the cause of our problems.  If a doctor only treats the symptoms and not the cause of a problem we don't get well.  The disease continues to spread and eventually we succumb to it.

There are fools like Bill O'Reilly saying that most of our president's have been patriots and Obama is one of those patriots.  (Hey Bill, if only "most" of the presidents have been patriots then obviously you think some presidents weren't patriots.  Which ones were less patriotic than Obama?)  

And we have conservatives watching his show!  What stupidity is that?  Just because he's on Fox doesn't make him a conservative.  I'll go so far as to say that conservatives should not watch his show and when they do they are doing more harm than good.  By watching O'Reilly you cause him to retain the high viewership that keeps him in the most powerful time slot on cable news.  All you are doing is driving up his ratings.  Don't waste your time.  I agree with Limbaugh's assessment of O'Reilly being on the level of the Ted Baxter character on the old Mary Tyler Moore Show.  If this is what conservatives are viewing, then it's no wonder why they don't understand what's going on in America.  And by viewing his show you are supporting him and keeping Fox from choosing a true conservative for a show in the top time slot.

(As a footnote let me say that in fact, Fox is full of people who are not conservative.  I remember reading a study from UCLA that said that Fox, while being more to the right in their views than other TV news, is still slightly left of center.  It has been reported that during the last election Fox employees gave more money to Obama's campaign than they did to the Romney campaign.)

So, while the fact is that most people just don't get what's going on and that's very depressing, every now and then there is someone who comes along that does get it.  And instead of writing any further in this post I want to share with you a link to an article by Daniel Greenfield that everyone should read.  He gets it.  He understands just how bad things are and what we need to focus on.  What he's written is excellent so please click here to go to his article.





Wednesday, February 19, 2014

White House Tells Businesses To Lose Money


Here's the Nonsense:  Raising the minimum wage will give low income workers a chance to earn a decent living and get people out of poverty.

Here's the Horse Sense:  Raising the minimum wage has never worked and never will.  This is about the Democrats trying to make their opponents look bad.


It's reported that the White House has said that businesses should lose money to increase the minimum wage.  The White House's push for an increase in the minimum wage to $10.10 per hour to give people a "livable wage" is one the biggest misconceptions they continue to put forth on the American public.  If increasing the minimum wage worked, then poverty would have been eliminated decades ago.  But with every increase in the minimum wage all that changes is the definition of "livable wage."  It fixes nothing and just puts more burden on employers, which results in more burden on citizens as the employers have to pass their costs on to keep their businesses afloat.

Let's take a look at what would happen in a business where the owner has to increase wages.  We'll use a fast food restaurant franchise as an example because that industry is where this fight is focused in the news.  The average McDonald's franchise brings in $2.3 million per year in revenue and has 50 employees.  Let's assume that 10 of those employees are managers, supervisors, and others who make more than $10.10 per hour.  That means that 40 employees would get a pay increase under the proposed raise in the minimum wage.  

The average hourly worker at fast food restaurants makes about $8.25 per hour.  With the new requirements for benefits under Obamacare, most employers are cutting hours to 29 or less per week.  While many fast food workers work part time, let's assume that all 40 of these hourly employees work 29 hours.  So, here's what we have so far:

40 employees at $8.25 per hour = $303.00 per hour
40 employees at $10.10 per hour = 404.00 per hour
Difference = $74.00 per hour increase

So, the labor costs would go up $74.00 per hour for the franchise.  Multiply that by the 29 hours per week the employees work means that pay increase costs $2146.00 per week x 52 weeks = $111,592.00 per year in increased cost to the franchise.

The average profit for these types of restaurants is 2.4%.  Based on the average revenue of $2.3 million, that would mean an annual profit of $55,200.00.  Now subtract the increased cost of the new pay level, which is $111,592.00 and the business is now losing $56,932.00 per year.  ($55,200.00 - $111,592.00 = - $56,932.00)

Increasing the minimum wage would cause this business to lose $56,932.00 per year, and these numbers do not include increased FICA taxes and other costs that the employer will have to pay thereby causing even greater losses.  

The employer only has two ways to survive:

1.)  Increase prices to cover the additional costs.  How much are you willing to pay for your hamburger?  And if you won't pay the higher prices to support this, then the business fails and not only does the owner lose, but all the employees lose their jobs, too.  Then the taxpayers get to pay unemployment to support those same people who got that minimum wage pay raise because they're unemployed.  

2.)  The only other choice is to cut costs, which means laying off employees as most businesses like this have little other "cushion" they can cut.  They would have to lay off 3.73 employees just to break even.  There are 12,804 McDonald's in the U. S. and that would be 12,804 x 3.73 employees to lay off = 47,758 employees laid off at McDonald's alone.  

Raising the minimum wage doesn't fix anything.  It just burdens all of us and is simply a tool of the Democrats to try to make those opposed to it look like they're villains who want people to starve.  

If the Democrats really cared about people, as they say they do, then they'd push legislation that would increase the minimum wage to $100,000 per year so that no one would live in or anywhere near poverty.  But they know that won't work so they work under the guise of helping people while really they are only trying to vilify their opponents.  They have no solutions, only attacks.




Sunday, February 16, 2014

We're In Way, Way, Way Over Our Heads


Here's the Nonsense:  America isn't really in such bad financial shape.  At least we're not like Detroit.

Here's the Horse Sense:  Compared to America's fiscal situation, Detroit is actually in much better shape.  Our future is doomed if we don't wake up to how bad things have really gotten.

It gets old hearing people talking about things the government needs to spend money on, let alone asking how the government is going to pay for things.  The fact is that our nation is broke and no one seems to care.  Not the politicians and not the citizens.  I warned in my book, No Tomorrows, that there were 3 core problems America faces that must be fixed to turn this country around.  So far, none of them are being addressed (not that anyone's listening to me, but the problems are obvious and should be dealt with just as a matter of common sense).  One of those problems that I discussed in that book was our debt.  And now it's even worse.  Contrary to the CBO's Extended Baseline Forecast a few months ago that showed our debt (including unfunded liabilities) at $47 trillion, their other set of books (they call them the Alternative Fiscal Scenario) show the U. S. at $205 trillion in debt.  

The Extended Baseline Forecast of the CBO assumes current law remains in place, with provisions of current law like cuts in Medicare and Medicaid doctor reimbursements, even though they usually change.  Even the CBO does not view these as realistic, but they give the public a better feeling about our fiscal situation.

The Alternative Fiscal Scenario forecast is what the CBO actually projects future taxes and spending to be.  They include in these projections consideration for how Washington (the President and Congress) have historically been changing the laws. Generally they are seen as much more accurate, but you and I rarely, if ever, hear anyone talk about these numbers.
When people talk about needing to spend money or being upset because something was cut from the budget in a showdown between the Democrats and Republicans the correct response should be, "No, we have no money, we are bankrupt FAR WORSE than Detroit!" ("Showdown" to the establishment GOP means they give up and let the Democrats have whatever they want -- as evidenced by the recent cave on the debt ceiling for which we can thank John Boehner and other Republican leaders.)

That's right, far worse than Detroit.  Think about it.  Detroit has $18.3 billion debt, which when divided by it's 701,000 population comes out to $26,105 per person.  The U. S., on the other hand, is $205 trillion in the hole.  Divided by our 317,000,000 population comes out to over $646,000 per person.  Hmmm….. seems like our politicians in Washington could learn something from Detroit (sarcasm intended).  

WIth the exception of a limited few, who in America can afford an additional $646,000 of debt on top of their lifetime expenses to live?  Imagine starting out your life with $646,000 hanging over your head before you've grown up, gone to school, or worked a day in your life.  Then add interest to that and all of the other expenses you'll have throughout your lifetime and you're doomed.

It's been reported that the average person with a bachelor's degree will earn about $1,550,000 over their lifetime compared to those with a high school diploma who will average $1,300,000.  

Let's say that you're the average person with a college degree and figure out what this means for you:  

We have to start by taking your share of the national debt from your lifetime earnings.  So, $1,550,000 - $646,000 = $904,000.

A conservative estimate of taxes would be 25%, which is $387,500 ($1,550,000 x 25%).  So, let's take those taxes away: $904,000 - $387,500 = $516,000.  

Average life expectancy in the U. S. as of 2013 is 76 for men and 81 for women.  Let's use the average male lifespan of 76 years.  

And let's assume that your parents support you until you're 26, since Obamacare allows you to stay on your parents insurance that long and that would mean you are still a child (hey, don't get offended at me for calling you a child until you're 26, I'm just using the government's definitions here).  

Based on that information, that means you have 50 years to support yourself (from age 26 to 76).  

Now, we need to take the $516,000 you have left and divide it by the 50 years you must support yourself.  So, dividing $516,000 by 50 years we are left with $10,330 per year to live for your entire adult life.  (Of course that doesn't deduct the amount you're responsible for of your state and city's debts.)

Now don't be too upset.  The good news here is that Obamacare will significantly shorten your lifespan so you won't have as long to live.That means you'll actually have a little more money to live on.

Oh wait, I forgot that the continual printing of money by the government (they call it quantitative easing so you don't think of them devaluing your dollars).  That means that your money will be worth less and less each year, too.

Think we're in trouble?  If you don't, then you're dumber than the 1 in 4 Americans who, it was just reported, don't know that the Earth revolves around the Sun.

Folks, we're in serious trouble. The future is very dark and getting worse each day we allow this to go on.  We need to replace as many of the Democrats and establishment GOP members of Congress as we can in this year's midterm elections.  My new book, The Leadership Secret, looks at what is required to be a true leader.  We're talking about the kind of leaders that America needs to get out of the mess we're in and turned back to the country we were designed to be.  The Leadership Secret shows the secret common denominator found in all true leaders and what their 16 common character traits are.  This describes the key for true leaders in all areas of life, whether it's government, business, family, or in service organizations.  

Electing the right kind of people in 2014 will give America another chance.  If you prefer to live on $10,330 per year, then continue to do nothing.  But is that the future you dreamed of for yourself, your children, and your grandchildren?



Monday, February 10, 2014

Broke The Law 16 Times And Counting?


Here's the Nonsense:  The President can change the Obamacare law because it's his law.  It's not any business of those in Congress.

Here's the Horse Sense:  The U. S. Constitution requires that laws must be passed and changed by Congress, not the President.  This president has violated that law at least 16 times with Obamacare alone.  It's time to do something about it.

The Washington Post is reporting that the White House has just extended the Obamacare Employer Mandate for medium-sized employers to 2016.  The last time he changed the Obamacare law it was reported that not including the times Congress changed the law, that was the 15th time he'd broken the law by making changes without congressional approval.  So, that would make this the 16th time that the president has violated the Constitution with Obamacare alone.  That doesn't even include all the other times I talked about him violating the Constitution in another post recently.  Has anyone in Congress ever heard the term "check and balance system, " or is that just a figment of my imagination?

Concessions, extensions, changes, delays, the Executive Branch can do whatever they want with no fear of anyone stopping them.  Sure, Speaker of the House John Boehner makes comments like a little schoolboy muttering under his breath.  But he does nothing about any of this.  Business Insider reports the Speaker said, "And, once again, the president is rewriting law on a whim. If the administration doesn’t believe employers can manage the burden of the law, how can struggling families be expected to? This continued manipulation by the president breeds confusion and erodes Americans’ confidence in him and his health care law.  We need fairness for all, with relief from Obamacare for every American."

No outrage at the president breaking the law.  No mention of holding him accountable.  Nothing.  Only some crack about fairness.  Well Mr. Speaker, we don't need fairness, we need accountability!

That's probably why the president said, as quoted by Weekly Standard today, "That's the good thing as a President, I can do whatever I want."


This is the kind of weak leadership in Congress with which Americans are being stuck.  National Journal just reported that the CBO has started dancing about it's report that Obamacare would cost 2.5 million jobs.  This kind of action only comes where there's been political pressure put on someone to change what they are saying.  

Our government is out of control. It's time for Americans to clean house and replace virtually everyone in both parties.  The few like Ted Cruz, Louie Gohmert, Rand Paul, Mike Lee, Trey Gowdy and a limited number of others are the kind of people with which we need to be replacing all the others from BOTH parties.  The establishment GOP is NO better than the Democrats.

2014 is here.  Election day is not that far away.  Have you found candidates with which we can replace these weasels?  America, it's time to get to work and work VERY hard if we want to save our country.






Sunday, February 9, 2014

2014 Is The Answer To 2016

Here's the Nonsense:  The big money donors are already behind Hillary for 2016.  There's no chance conservatives can compete with that.

Here's the Horse Sense:  Big money will be behind whoever they think has a chance to win, and Hillary is the favorite in the media. But there is a way around big money.


Conservatives have a big problem:  MONEY.  Whether we like it or not, money controls politics in America.  Without money it's virtually impossible for any political candidate to have a successful campaign.  And conservatives are short on that commodity.  That, possibly even more than the ill-informed and apathetic state of the electorate, may be the underlying cause of the downfall of America.  For 2016, the big money is all lining up behind Hillary Clinton.  Can the conservatives successfully fight that?

In an article at NationalReview.com, NBC's Andrea Mitchell is said to have informed viewers on Sunday's Meet the Press that Hillary Clinton has the big donors wooing her for 2016.  That should be no surprise to anyone.  Let's face it, the media has virtually crowned Hillary the new monarch, er, um, I mean winner of the presidency in the 2016 elections.  There is little doubt that should Hillary be the Democrat nominee in 2016, she will be the favored candidate (just like she was in 2008, at least until the media fell for Obama).  And big money does not as much follow political party as it follows power.  Whoever is seen to have power gets the big money following them.

At this point the Republicans have nothing to compete with the image that the leftist media have built for Mrs. Clinton.  Sure, the establishment GOP is trying to build a case for people like Chris Christie (although his days appear to be numbered), Marco Rubio, and Jeb Bush as the best choices as candidates.  (Mark my words.  If the establishment GOP can have Jeb Bush as their candidate they will be celebrating like there is no tomorrow, all the while eliminating any chance for a GOP victory.)  And if one of those candidates shows promise, some big money will line up behind them, too.  Big money makes it a point to hedge its bets.  They always spread the money around a bit to make sure they're covered in case the other party wins.

But what most big money donors don't do very often is put money behind conservatives.  

Conservatives would like to see more support for their candidates but their chances are limited.  That doesn't mean they can't win, but they cannot rely on those big money donors to do so.  There is only one way they can mount any campaign for the presidency that will have a serious chance at victory.  It is to get so many of us average Americans behind the conservative candidate that they are pushed through to win the nomination in the primaries and then on to victory in the general election.  

We, as the grassroots, have to rally as many supporters as we can to support the conservative candidates.  But possibly even more important than that is that we must decide early on who our candidate will be and get behind him/her.  If we repeat the 2012 bloodbath between conservative candidates in the primaries and don't agree to get behind one person quickly, the primaries will do so much damage that, once again, the establishment GOP will determine who the candidate will be and, therefore, virtually guarantee a loss in the election.

What can we do about it?  Actually the answer starts this year in the 2014 midterms.  If we can be successful and overwhelm the elections with conservative victories in the House and Senate, thereby taking conservative control of both houses of congress we will cause two things to happen.  First, we will assure accountability is returned to government with a true check and balance system that will hold the Executive Branch accountable.  And second, we will create a groundswell of power for conservatives that will push the conservative candidate for the nomination in 2016 to the forefront.  

We must get the establishment GOP on the defensive, on the ropes.  And then we cannot let up and must keep driving home our message to keep the establishment GOP on the defensive and conservatives who represent the true views of most Americans will then have a chance to take back control of our nation.

The answer to 2016 is in 2014.  Without significant victories this year, 2016 won't matter.



Thursday, February 6, 2014

The Blessing America Received 103 Years Ago Today May Never Be Repeated

Here's the Nonsense:  America is in trouble and needs to find another leader like Ronald Reagan to fix things.

Here's the Horse Sense:  America's troubles certainly could use a Ronald Reagan to lead us, but that isn't all we need.  It will take a change in Americans to save our nation.

Today would have been Ronald Reagan's 103rd birthday.  America was blessed with him as a leader who was like none  other we've had since his birth.  In fact, America may never be blessed again with such a leader.  Someone with the communication and leadership skills and convictions of Ronald Reagan comes along very, very rarely.  We should be thankful for having been given such a leader.  

In my new book, The Leadership Secret, I explore and explain what is needed in leaders, whether it's in government, family, business, or any area of life.  It clearly outlines what is required in the people who will lead us.  But while it outlines what we need in our leaders, even with great leaders we will not succeed unless our nation abandons its immoral ways and becomes committed to honoring God in our lives.  

Our founders said that our government was created for a moral and religious people and would not work if we were not those kinds of people.  No longer can we look the other way at wrongdoing.  That isn't just when we see corruption in Washington or a crime being committed.  It is also when we do all those little things we've come to accept as "okay" but are not worthy of those who honor goodness and righteousness.  

Even those who claim to be "religious" are guilty of activity that they would never think of engaging in if God were standing in front of them at that moment.  I've got news for them, He is watching at that very moment.  He is always watching.

Everything from treating others unjustly, to watching unsavory movies and TV shows, telling unwholesome jokes, telling little "white lies" because we can justify them, cutting corners on our taxes, not obeying the laws of our land, and any other thing that falls short of how God has commanded us to live.  We must turn to God and live like He has commanded or there is no hope for America regardless of who we elect to leadership.

While many say we need to search and find another Ronald Reagan, continued failure in our responsibility to God will ensure our destruction.