The Horse Sense Blog compares the nonsense in today's news with good ol' fashioned horse sense


“…I shall speak forth my sentiments freely and without reserve.… It is only in this way that we can hope to arrive at truth, and fulfill the great responsibility which we hold to God and our country. Should I keep back my opinions at such a time, through fear of giving offense, I should consider myself as guilty of treason towards my country, and of an act of disloyalty toward the Majesty of Heaven, which I revere above all earthly kings.” - Patrick Henry, March 23, 1775


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Sunday, November 1, 2015

It's Looking Like Hillary Has A Clear Path To The White House

The Horse Sense Blog compares the nonsense in today's news with good ol' fashioned horse sense.


Here's the Nonsense:  Hillary is on the ropes.  With all her scandals, her lack of personality, her reputation for being unlikable, her lack of accomplishments, and all her other baggage, there's no way she can win the Democrat nomination let alone the White House.


Here's the Horse Sense:  Never, never, never underestimate the Clintons.  Their ability to come out on top is rarely matched in politics.  Once again Hillary has won by eliminating scrutiny of her scandals and now could very well have a clear path to the nomination and the White House.


Conservatives have squealed with glee recently as they've seen success in areas such as:



  • The unseating of John Boehner as House Speaker. 
  • The failure of Jeb Bush and some other establishment candidates to have their campaigns gain traction. 
  • Seeing Hillary Clinton's campaign struggle under the perceived pressure from scandal after scandal.  



Bumper stickers that say things like "Hillary for Prison 2016" have become popular.  There's been a view among many that she is falling like Lucifer when he was cast from heaven and they can't wait for the crash when she hits bottom.


But it's not going to happen.  In fact, contrary to what overly enthusiastic conservatives are willing to face, chances are VERY high that she will be our next president.


To all of those who wrote me emails, talk show hosts who scoffed in disagreement, and others who listened with doubt as I have said over and over that she is not going to jail, probably won't be punished, and will most likely be the Democrat nominee for 2016, I need to remind you of some facts that have been forgotten during this period of premature celebration.


While Hillary's campaign has struggled and been restarted over and over again hoping to build excitement, she's finally crossed the threshold showing nothing is going to stop her.  


Many thought that the Benghazi scandal would stop her, putting their hope in the worthless efforts of the House Benghazi investigation.  While the House committee members say that they're not done, Hillary is clearly off the hook.  

After the 11 hours she spent answering the committee's questions she walked away the victor, even raising her hand as a sign of success as she left the hearing and then holding a celebration that night.  She knew that any impact on her was now past and her campaign would not have to worry about it.


Just prior to that event was the first Democrat debate where, thanks to Bernie Sanders and the media, she was let off the hook for the email scandal.


It was said well in a recent report from McClatchy:


"But most who spoke to McClatchy say it's unlikely the former first lady, senator and Cabinet secretary will face charges because of her high profile and the hurdle to prove she knew the emails contained classified information when she sent them to others.


"'She's too big to jail,' said national security attorney Edward MacMahon Jr.[sic], who represented former CIA employee Jeffrey Sterling in 2011 in a leak case that led to an espionage prosecution and 3 1/2 year prison term.  He cited a pattern of light punishments for top government officials who have mishandled classified information while lower level whistleblowers such as Sterling have faced harsh prosecutions for revealing sensitive information to expose waste, fraud or abuse in government."


MacMahon hits the nail on the head when he says she's too big to jail.  No one is going to touch her and thanks to the Benghazi hearing and the Democrat debate, she now has assurance that the nomination is hers and the Democrat primaries will only be a formality.


The Clintons are very powerful people and just as her husband not only was let off instead of being convicted in 1999 for his crime of perjury and has since become a hero and icon for leftists across the nation and world, she is following the same path.  


Conservatives might think their favorite candidates are doing well in the GOP primaries, but doing well in the GOP primaries is not winning the general election.  The GOP primaries are far from over and establishment Republicans have been thrown for a loop with their favorite candidate, Jeb Bush, not being able to get his campaign on track.  


But now the establishment is beginning to move their support to their second choice to carry the establishment forward by getting behind Marco Rubio (who very well might be the most dangerous man in the GOP primaries).  Rubio's deceptions, lack of accountability, lack of experience, greed and track record are being completely ignored by much of the electorate and the establishment GOP are taking advantage of that.  


As well as some non-establishment candidates are doing, the primaries are far from over and Rubio has a good chance of moving up and even winning unless he's stopped soon.  And if any establishment candidate, including Rubio, is the nominee against Clinton there is no chance the GOP will win the White House in 2016.  It will just be a repeat of the McCain and Romney losses.


Some may say that a non-establishment GOP nominee would be able to win over Clinton, but don't bet on it.  Carson or Trump have a chance.  There's little chance anyone else does.  

And contrary to those who think Ted Cruz could beat her, he has problems that Clinton will use against him and, I believe, would keep him from winning.  (Keep watching, I'll write a post on that shortly.)


The only hope for keeping Hillary out of the White House is for voters to coalesce around a non-establishment candidate early in the primaries and end the Republican bickering that usually destroys them before they go head to head with Democrats.  Without a solid backing by the electorate, no one is going to have a chance against the Clinton machine.


Unfortunately, history has shown us over and over again that conservatives aren't able to do that.  The internal bickering and refusal to agree to disagree on a few issues so we can get together and support one candidate keeps us from winning like we could.  If that happens again, it will give Hillary victory in November 2016.