The Horse Sense Blog compares the nonsense in today's news with good ol' fashioned horse sense

“…I shall speak forth my sentiments freely and without reserve.… It is only in this way that we can hope to arrive at truth, and fulfill the great responsibility which we hold to God and our country. Should I keep back my opinions at such a time, through fear of giving offense, I should consider myself as guilty of treason towards my country, and of an act of disloyalty toward the Majesty of Heaven, which I revere above all earthly kings.” - Patrick Henry, March 23, 1775

"The further a society drifts from truth the more it will hate those who speak it." - George Orwell

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Sunday, January 17, 2016

Why I No Longer Believe Ted Cruz Can Win The Presidency - Pt. 2 on Ted Cruz's Candidacy

Here's the Nonsense:  Ted Cruz will sweep the general election and be the biggest success since Reagan.

Here's the Horse Sense:  Ted Cruz has way too many things going against him to win against the Democrats, let alone the knowledge and skills to turn America around when it's at the most critical time in our history.

Now if, after learning what I shared in part 1, you insist on being a Cruz ostrich and keep your head in the sand and ignore history, you need to at least consider the other obstacles he faces that would cause him to lose against the Democrats if he could somehow get the nomination.

First, Cruz is not able to draw support from people outside of conservatives.  Sure, he says he's going to get all the evangelicals who aren't registered to vote to support him, but that's a task that, to date, no one has been able to do.  And if evangelicals get wind of what I pointed out in a recent post, he may lose much of their support, too.  

I'm not sure why Ted thinks he has more ability to get those uninvolved evangelicals to be involved than anyone else ever has.  Remember, back in Reagan's day we had Jerry Falwell and the Moral Majority drawing voters in at a far more effective rate than you see today.  The nation was far more receptive to moral issues and faith issues.  We are a much more secular society now, 35 years later, than we were then.

And yet even back then they couldn't get a lot of evangelicals to register and vote.  If anyone had been able to get unregistered evangelicals involved, those people would be registered and active in our political process already.  

Cruz is not able to draw anyone other than some people from the conservative base and his inability to draw anyone else in makes it a very limited pool of voters from which he is drawing to try to win against the Democrats.

Second, what really compounds his problems is that a poll taken prior to the last debate shows:

  • Only 47% of voters think Cruz is eligible to hold the office of president.  
  • 27% think he is not eligible.  
  • 26% are not sure if he's eligible.

That means that 53% either think he is not eligible or aren't sure if he's eligible.  That plays against him in trying to get people to vote for him when the majority question whether he can legally be president.

Third, Cruz has positioned himself as a man of the people who is being supported by the grassroots donors, but the facts don't mesh with that image.  According to an article in American Thinker, Ted Cruz is getting funding from the likes of Robert Mercer of the hedge fund Renaissance Technologies, executives at Wall Street firms Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, Citigroup and, among others, the hedge fund Paulson & Co., founded by billionaire John Paulson.  

So, the idea that he won't be beholden to big money is highly questionable at best and at worst a farce.  No candidate who takes money from these types of people can get away without serving them when they are in office. Cruz could turn out to handle it better than most, but he'd be the first candidate supported by big donors who didn't have to give them political payback for their donations.

Fourth, Cruz has yet to face the challenge to his lack of a experience leading any type of organization.  Just like Obama, he's a one term senator and has never run any type of organization in his life.  That lack of experience will haunt him in the election.  And it should.  

Americans should recognize that knowledge of the Constitution and our founding documents, handling some court cases, and even fighting alone on the Senate floor may be good, but they don't give a person the skills needed to fix the administrative nightmare that has become our government.  Even the Democrats will use his inexperience against him.

And all of this doesn't even include other concerns I've raised in the past or have yet to raise at all.  This is just a shortlist.

You may like Cruz, I know I did.  Just read back about a year and you'll see how positively I wrote about him.  But unlike Cruz, or even most talk show hosts and political pundits, I've run businesses and organizations in my life and made them successful.  I've gone into losing organizations and turned them around.  I can tell you that his lack of experience will be a huge problem in effectively turning this country around.  

In fact, he's probably the most hated man in Washington and it may be admirable that he's willing to take a stand, his lack of ability to get others in the houses of Congress to build a team to take on the issues and win tells us he won't have much success if he were to win the White House.  Both sides, Democrat and Republican, will band together to make him a lame duck president from day one.  Mitch McConnell and Paul Ryan will lead them all in stopping him at every turn.

Ted Cruz, like most of the candidates, has no life experience to draw from to run the biggest "organization" in the world, let alone get others to join him in his battles.  

But people who haven't run businesses successfully long term not only don't, but usually can't understand just how hard it is to do.  We've allowed politicians, most of which have been attorneys, to lead our nation and we're now in the worst position in our history.  We've gone from being the biggest creditor nation to the biggest debtor nation in the world.  We are in such bad shape that it is, at best, questionable whether we still have enough time left to turn it around.  We don't need a novice doing on-the-job-training when our nation's in worse shape than it's ever been and our freedom and survival are at stake.

I used to be a Ted Cruz supporter.  I used to believe he was an exception in politics.  But things I've learned and seen have caused me to not just doubt his integrity, but believe he is not much different than any other Washington politician. 

And when I add that to his lack of ANY experience running anything, his terrible judgment on issues like supporting Obamatrade because he trusted Mitch McConnell who, Ted later learned, lied to him (and Ted should have known better than to trust a known liar), his twisting of facts about a competitor, his "mistake" in reporting two huge loans he got for his Senate campaign, and his unwillingness to be open with the public raises too many questions about who he really is.

If we want to save this nation for our children and grandchildren, then we must look to people who know how to fix things.  We've allowed the political class that's mostly made up of attorneys to handle things and the mess they've gotten us into may not be able to be overcome.  The only logical solution is to bring in the kind of people who know how to fix things and make them efficient.  That's not something politicians are known for.

If Ted Cruz is a good man and is just making a typical youthful mistake in judgment by not being open, then once we're convinced that's all it is we can push the new president to appoint him to a job where he'd be useful like Attorney General.  But let's not make the mistake of thinking he has the skills and knowledge to take on the world's most difficult and biggest job.