The Horse Sense Blog compares the nonsense in today's news with good ol' fashioned horse sense


“…I shall speak forth my sentiments freely and without reserve.… It is only in this way that we can hope to arrive at truth, and fulfill the great responsibility which we hold to God and our country. Should I keep back my opinions at such a time, through fear of giving offense, I should consider myself as guilty of treason towards my country, and of an act of disloyalty toward the Majesty of Heaven, which I revere above all earthly kings.” - Patrick Henry, March 23, 1775


"The further a society drifts from truth the more it will hate those who speak it." - George Orwell

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Wednesday, May 4, 2016

Trump And Predictions Of His Nomination, Even His Presidency

Here's the Nonsense:  No one had any idea that Trump would run before he announced on June 16, 2015.  Now, the fact that he's got the nomination virtually locked up, it's a shock for everyone.

Here's the Horse Sense:  Trump's success in his campaign is really no surprise.  It should have been obvious long ago that he'd run and that he'd be successful if he did.

Those who know me best know that I hate it when people say "I told you so."  I avoid saying those words because I believe it's rarely polite or appropriate.  It's usually a juvenile action and nothing short of annoying.  So, it's hard for me when the rare occasion occurs that would cause me to feel it important to show where something I said was right.  Usually I try to just let people figure it out for themselves.  But at the risk of being accused of doing the very thing I dislike, I think it's time I remind people that long before others were saying it, I predicted what's happening with Trump.

Jayne Carroll is a wonderful talk radio host in Oregon.  She's very gracious and during this primary season she's been introducing me as being the first person to predict that Donald Trump would run for the presidency in 2016.  

I've been on Jayne's show most every week during the primaries and recently Jayne's introduction got me wondering when I actually did say it the first time.  While I have said it verbally in discussions and on radio programs for some time, I don't have record of when I spoke it the first time.  But I decided to at least go back and see when I wrote about it here the first time.

It seems that back in December 2014, right after the big Republican win in the midterm elections and the immediate stab in the back by the GOPe (GOP establishment), I first mentioned it on this blog. The first mention was in a post where I included a short comment by me that Trump would run and win the Republican nomination.  Later that same month I mentioned Trump again when I updated a post a couple days after publishing it and not only reiterated that he would be the nominee, but also said he would win the presidency unless the GOPe would be successful in stopping an outsider from coming in.  I also pointed out that the GOPe would prefer a Democrat win over an outsider winning.

So, I'll allow you, the reader, to determine if that was the first time someone said these things.  But for me there is an important point about this.  The point is what I made back then that America needs the mindset of a successful businessperson to fix our economy.  And given Trump's marketing expertise, the chances of stopping him are almost impossible.  

Now I realize that few people outside the world of marketing really have any concept of how powerful it is.  I was raised in and trained in that world of business.  I know it like the back of my hand.  It's the entire reason American business has been the powerhouse that drove America to the prosperity of the 20th century.  In fact, the abandonment of those principles by much of American business is a major reason why businesses aren't what they once were.

But the power behind the success of American business that started during the American Industrial Revolution when, after figuring out how to mass produce products, we then figured out how to market that huge volume of production, is what drove the rise of the middle class in America.  It made America the most prosperous nation in world history.

That same power is what is driving Trump in this campaign and has now made him the presumptive nominee of the Republican Party.  And, I will say, unless the big money donors who run the politicians on both sides of the aisle are successful in stopping him, he's most likely going to be our next president.

If you thought you've seen a battle in the primaries, just wait. The general election will be a bloodbath and no Republican I can think of has the ability to fight the Democrats on their turf and using their tactics like Donald Trump.  He's been called a street brawler and that's probably an apt description.  He knows how to take it to them on their turf and win.  The Democrats have no idea how to deal with someone who fights like they do.

This will be a fight to watch.